Lets complain about melan hunts!!!
Forum Index > PokéFarm > Discussion >
Melan pokemon are a combination of shiny and albino. When a pokemon hatches as both it turns melan. That is basically the opposite of albinism, so the (in nature animals), here pokemon are black. FOr example this one:
and I truly hope my current hunt doesnt take that long. That little eel hatched after 10k eggs. Im just at nearly 2k for my current hunt Q.Q
QUOTE originally posted by miha
Melan pokemon are a combination of shiny and albino. When a pokemon hatches as both it turns melan. That is basically the opposite of albinism, so the (in nature animals), here pokemon are black. FOr example this one:
and I truly hope my current hunt doesnt take that long. That little eel hatched after 10k eggs. Im just at nearly 2k for my current hunt Q.Q
QUOTE originally posted by CorruptedKnyght
I hate to be a downer, but this post...
This post is not just wrong, but is actively harmful.
There is no benefit to resetting your chain at all. Resetting it will, obviously, reset your accumulated bonuses. All of them.
Now, as of the latest Rank updates, this only really applies to the Cobalt Amulet's effect, but the point still stands.
Do not reset your chain "for better luck". There is no such "early chain bonus". You are just shooting yourself in the foot if you do this.
QUOTE originally posted by Çelestanê
...
QUOTE originally posted by TheHalfAngel
What are Melan Pokemon? Are they like Delta Pokemon and have different typings and design?
QUOTE originally posted by Niet
I hate to be a downer, but this post...
This post is not just wrong, but is actively harmful.
There is no benefit to resetting your chain at all. Resetting it will, obviously, reset your accumulated bonuses. All of them.
Now, as of the latest Rank updates, this only really applies to the Cobalt Amulet's effect, but the point still stands.
Do not reset your chain "for better luck". There is no such "early chain bonus". You are just shooting yourself in the foot if you do this.
QUOTE originally posted by Çelestanê
...
If you keep resetting your chain in search of an "early Melan," then obviously any melans you do hatch will necessarily be early melans!
I am speaking as the guy who programmed it, and who did all the statistical analysis that goes into balancing a game like this. I also wrote extensive documentation on what goes into the calculations.
Your empirical "evidence" of a handful of friends counting in a flawed manner does not outweigh the facts.
Just to add to Niets post,
The long chain bonus is not as big as you may think for shorter chains.
Taking shiny odds (HM, shiny charm, non sei) of 1 in 64 into consideration,
And considering albino odds (lvl 7 radar, z crystal, no TR) of 1 in 90 into consideration,
Now add an Uber charm,
At eggs 40 to 100, your accumulative buff to the albino chances given a shiny has been rolled is 1 in 90/6 = 1 in 15,
Making your Melan chance 1 in 64*15, aka 1 in 960. (MAYBE this explains why there are so many melans under 1k LOL, the normal distribution should like with an avg of 960 hatched for the Melan, it's statistically likely to be so, but statistics isn't reality of course. In a sense if you hatched millions you'd get a normal distribution curve with an average of 960, but there will be some super early at 10 and some super late at 10000+)
At 100 hatched, your long chain bonus is 1.5 percent, so your accumulative buff to albino odds is 1 in 90/6/1.015, which is 1 in 14.77, after rounding it becomes 1 in 15 so like it's essentially the same odds, 1 in 960.
When does it start mattering? In this particular scenario (numbers will change based on what buffs, e g. TR, you have), it's 500 hatched. At 500, you get a 7.5 percent boost, which makes the albino chances
1 in 90/6/1.075 = 1 in 13.95, rounded to 1 in 14.
The cumulative Melan chances is now 1 in 64*14= 1 in 896
1 in 960 and 1 in 896 isn't that noticeable. So if your sample size is 1k eggs, then yeah you probably aren't losing a lot if you keep resetting at 500 haha.
The anecdotal evidence is cool and all. But there's a simpler explanation than a secret Sally buff and it's just that long chain bonus doesn't feel like a big buff until you get to a certain size of your long chain. But in the long run, talkin about 10 thousand +++ eggs, the long chain buff will have you seen melans earlier. Even if just a couple eggs earlier (at early long chains).
Note: maths may be off, I'm doing this from my phone, please correct if I'm wrong.
I'd like to politely request we move on from this subject as we are getting off topic for melanistic complaints ^^" Another discussion thread may be more suitable for the information/opinions of effective melan hunting techniques/theories. This thread is intended for passing complaints and not a full blown discussion about what is/isnt optimized melan hunting.
Icon by me!
i can start us off! my flabebe hunt, 2k eggs, full boosts 80% of the time
one melan.
One???
sally please ;w;
Cannot post: Please log in to post