CSY's Journal: Maths and Musings

Art! ;=; (Mostly commissions, some gifts. Not free to use c:)

Missing Shiny Vivillion Patterns Continental

Melan Dexing

I have some extra Shiny Apoc. Golett UFS: Shinies: - x21 - Check first field for natures. SPECIAL OFFER Buy 2 for: - 150 ZC - 750 GP - 750k Credits - 30 boxes Last updated: 02/06/2017 Prices: - 100 ZC - 450 GP - 450k Credits - 2-3 summons [Not all statues/lamps please >w<. I would really love Victory Medals though. Depends on value of summon] - 45 Daycare passes [I dont mind if they're all individual] - Other Shiny Variants [May be picky as apoc golett is genderless c:] - 1 boxbox - Mixed payments allowed Albinos: - None atm. Request for a hunt spot if needed Prices: - 250 ZC - 950 GP/950k credits - Open to other offers Note to self: - x2 reserved for bobert2005 x1 reseved for strangelycharmd

Offering Custom Legendary/Melanistic Hunts! I am going to be trying something out, whilst I consider what I would like to hunt next. Information - Legendary Hunts What does it mean by a custom legendary hunt? Have the summons but you don't have the time? Or stuck on a perpetually long list of melans you still have to hatch - but you really want that shiny/albino legend? Whether you have 60 summons, or 300, if you need someone to help with hatching that, I can provide that service! I use Hypermode, Shiny Charms and Uber Charms to hunt, as well as enough Interaction Points to fully charge my level 7 albino radar daily. All shinies/albinos/melanistics (if that happens xD) hatched will go directly to you. I will occasionally use [Super] Lucky Eggs on Niet day to speed up the process but this will largely depend on the funds I have. How many summons do I need? My conglomerate shiny chance with all boosts active (including sei averages) is 1 in 25.3. It takes 40 summons to start a hunt, but sometimes luck gets in the way, so I would suggest at least 60 summons if you only are looking for 1 shiny. What can I expect in return? I can guarantee the following: - A daily report on number of interactions preformed, number of eggs hatched, number of specials hatched, and anything else you require - At least an average of 60k interactions a day [Disclaimer: per day on average weekly - I am on summer break at the moment so I have a lot of time, but my schedule fluctuates a lot] - All shinies/albinoes/melanistics hatched - Hypermode, Shiny Charms, Ubercharms, Lvl 7 Albino radar in full activity How much are you asking for in return of your services? This is still in test so I have no set prices, and it will also largely depend on the number of summons, as well as EHP of the legendary pokemon. As a base price though, I would be interested in a Shiny Legendary of the hunt of about 100-150 eggs [If the legendary in question is high tier, we can discuss a ZC price, I'd perhaps be interested in a discounted shiny legendary price too] If you are interested in funding [Super] Lucky Eggs, feel free, but they will only be used on Niet day. Information - Melanistic Hunts What does it mean by a custom melanistic hunt? Seen a melanistic design that you really love and want to get - but lacking the funds to do so? Do you have your heart set on Arceus just to hunt that one special, special melan? Well, I am happy to offer custom melan hunts to those who might just be a little too impatient to wait. I use Hypermode, Shiny Charms and Uber Charms to hunt, as well as enough Interaction Points to fully charge my level 7 albino radar daily. I am also of Arceus rank, which gives a huge boost to Melan chance at chains >1k. What can I expect in return? I can guarantee the following: - Hypermode, Shiny Charms, Ubercharm and lvl 7 albino radar in full strength daily - Shelter pass *, which I like maxing out - The 100th Shiny for no additional charge (if the chain gets that far), as a relic of the hunt How much are you asking for in return of your services? All EHP ranges will start with a base price. If you have preferences, it'll add on towards the price. 3k EHP-5k EHP Base: 2.5k ZC Nature Preference: +800 ZC Genderless: +500 ZC 6k EHP-7k EHP Base: 3.5k ZC Nature Preference: +800 ZC Genderless: +500 ZC >If you have a gender preference, we can discuss. However, I would prefer to not hunt for a melan with 7:1 odds.< Pricing Don't have the pure ZC? Here's how else you can pay: - 1 boxbox = 100 ZC - Shiny Legendaries = we can discuss - Jolly/Timid/Naive Melanistics - Most Summons = 30-100 ZC - White Stones = 100 ZC - Magma Stones = 50 ZC Forms [b]CSY, I need something BIG hunted![/b] [b]Username:[/b] [b]Legendary/Melanistic?[/b] [b]Any preferences:[/b] [b]Payment:[/b] [b]Other information (such as no. of summons)[/b]

Removed

Melan Hunt list > Chimchar [TheDragonGod20/Myself] > Croagunk > Deino

Melan chances, albino chances, and Arceus So according to this post, the melan boost maxes at about 5k, with a about 5x increase to the chance From info collected from others Shiny chance - about 1 in 25 Albino chance - about 1 in 100 Melan chance = shiny chance*albino chance = 1 in 2500 But From Meu - Melan chance with their chain was about 1 in 1000. [Longest chain on site - so the most 'accurate' results, supposedly] If Arceus gives a 5x boost at 5k+ eggs, then the original chance should be 1000*5 = 5000. This leads me to believe that albino chance is much lower than 1 in 100 [in my experience, closer to 1 in 200] Numbers would match up - 1/25*1/200 = 1/5000

Lvl 8 albino radar, event: Type race, and maths From the wiki, every increase in level adds 2431% increase to albino chances At lvl 7, you have 16,284.0% At lvl 8, you'd get ~18625% increase From my numbers, albino chances are about 1 in 200. [Max boosts] At lvl 8, considering a 1 in 200 chance of an albino at lvl 7 the chance would be 1 in 174.86 What does this mean for melan hunting? 1/25*1/174.86 = 1 in 4371.5 (vs 1 in 5k eggs) Hmm.