Do you open boxes?

Just a disclaimer that this is my own math that I've thrown together, and that I'm not including certain drops for the sake of making things more simplistic, so take all of this with a grain of salt. I'm just explaining my general line of thinking. And also I could be wrong here! If you notice anything amiss, please correct me. :) Going by box probabilities, give or take, there's a 23% chance that you'll end up meeting the value of the box on the market if not more than that (which averages around 30k credits) through the various things you can obtain (mega stone, arceus plate, uber rare, summon item, forme change items, and the small and big gold poke chance, not counting relic items because the items that are worth it are a percentage of a percentage and math 2 hard rn) Let's say you open 100 (equiv: 3mil credits) boxes in total. Based on the percentages, you should expect: 2 summon items MAYBE an arceus plate (its an 0.8 chance) 1 mega stone 5 big gold poke (between 50-125) 10 small gold poke (between 25-50) 4 forme change items NOTE: My market prices are based on their current prices. They may fluctuate, but fluctuate as they may, the general idea/point of my calculations should remain the same. Let's be extremely generous and say you get a really good summon item, like uhh two Jade Orbs or something, which is currently 400k credits right now on the market. And let's assume you get one of the FEW plates that are at more than 100k credits on the market, let's say it's worth 125k credits. And then let's say the mega stone you get is worth 500k credits. And that every single time you roll a gold poke drop, you get the maximum amount of gold poke. And that your forme change item drops average to 50k credits per item. 400 + 400 + 125 + 500 + (125 x 5) + (50 x 10) + (50 x 4) = 2.75mil credits Not even getting an uber rare item (which is an 0.2 chance) will be able to get to 3mil, as they average 70k-130k credits. This is just going by the percentages and taking them as what will actually happen - your actual mileage may vary. You may get more or you may get less. And again, keep in mind I was extremely generous with the item drops. At that point, you could probably just get a lottery ticket and buy ZC with your earnings.